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The last few months have seen major cities in Australia hitting the highest clearance rate on record. Usually this time of the year, we would normally see a slowdown of the market due to the cooler weather however it is surprising to see the housing market continuing to surge.
According to the latest report released by CoreLogic, dwelling values in the combined capital cities rose by 2.3% in May. While property vendors are keen to leverage the strong market conditions, record low-interest rates have prompted buyers to look for their dream home or investment property.
Whether you are a property owner who is looking for their next property or a new investor who is looking to step into the market, here are a few things to think about.
Have you noticed that people have different views on expected returns? Real estate agents may advise you that properties in Melbourne generate ’double-digit returns’ per annum, however, it is important to conduct your own due diligence by doing research and working out the real return of a property investment. Have you included all foreseeable expenses in your calculation such as agent fees, rates, and maintenance costs? In some of our clients’ experience, unplanned expenses can quickly diminish returns and undo budgeted cash flows. Had these expenses been considered earlier, they may not have purchased the investment.
To help you understand it, I have put together a case study that shows the estimated net income return of a recently sold four-bedroom house in one of Melbourne’s popular Eastern Suburbs:
Initial transaction costs | |
Purchase price | $1,300,000 |
Stamp duty etc. | $71,500 |
Conveyancing, building inspection etc. | $1,500 |
Loan set-up costs (e.g. valuation) | $1,000 |
Total initial purchase costs | $1,374,000 |
Ongoing income and expenses | |
Gross rent per week (estimate) | $700 |
Letting fee per annum | 6% |
Net rent per annum | $34,216 |
Ongoing expenses (per annum) | |
Rates | $2,000 |
Insurance | $600 |
Water/sewerage service fees | $1,000 |
Maintenance costs | $1,000 |
Projected annual cash flow | $29,616 |
Net annual income return | 2.16% |
As you can see, this property generates a net income return of just over 2% per annum. Generally speaking, a low net income return on a residential property is reasonable as people expect the property to generate strong capital growth to compensate for low income. The next step is to estimate the capital growth. According to realestate.com, median house prices in this suburb have increased by 5% per annum over the past five years. Does a 7% annual total return meet your expectation and objectives?
It is worth keeping in mind that I have assumed a 100% occupancy rate for the purpose of this case study. While the 2020 shutdown of the property market continues its positive impact on the property value, the Covid-19 Pandemic arguably poses a negative impact on the rental space. As Australian borders remain closed to tourists and international students, tenancy rates could decrease further. Young workers, who are more likely to rent homes, are most impacted by the lockdowns, which has resulted in a decline in demand for rental properties or lower rents. If you are retirees who rely on the income from your investment property to meet your income needs, you may find it difficult to manage your cash flow.
Residential is not the only way into the property market. At Hewison Private Wealth, we specialise in sourcing high-quality commercial property assets that offer attractive income, with returns underpinned by long-term leases to corporate tenants in well-located areas. If you are thinking of exploring alternative investments to diversify your wealth, please reach out for a confidential discovery call HERE.
Hewison Private Wealth is a Melbourne based independent financial planning firm. Our financial advisers are highly qualified wealth managers and specialise in self managed super funds (SMSF), financial planning, retirement planning advice and investment portfolio management. If you would like to speak to a financial adviser on how you can secure your financial future please contact us 03 8548 4800, email [email protected] or visit www.hewison.com.auPlease note: The advice provided above is general information only and individuals should seek specialised advice from a qualified financial advisor. The views in this blog are those of the individual and may not represent the general opinion of the firm. Please contact Hewison Private Wealth for more information.